Friday, July 6, 2012

Revisiting the agricultural policy


Book Review

By
Randeep Wadehra


Economic liberalization and Indian agriculture by GS Bhalla and Gurmail Singh
Sage. Pages: xxx+360. Price: Rs. 795/-

Ever since independence all our economic planning has been based on the premise – justified though it has been – that India’s is an agricultural economy. A vast majority of the country’s population depends upon agriculture for a living – a constant feature despite the industrialization and globalization that have been taking place since 1991. Agriculture may contribute only 21% (15% according to a World Bank report) of India’s GDP, but its importance is due to the fact that about 72% of the people still live in the villages, a large number of whom are poor, and the majority among them depends on rain-fed agriculture, or the increasingly dwindling forests, for their livelihoods.

There have been significant improvements in agricultural productivity over the decades. When the Borlaug seed-fertilizer technology was introduced during the mid-1960s the growth in India’s agricultural output began to gradually catch up with its population growth rate, and eventually outpaced it. Unsurprisingly, the technology became our main strategy for increasing food and agricultural output. From the period 1962-65 to the beginning of 1990s, before the initiation of economic reforms in 1991, the agricultural policy operated within a planned economic framework. The strategy of agricultural development constituted a part and parcel of the overall planning of the Indian economy. The Plan outlays accorded priority to public investment in rural infrastructure in general, and in irrigation in particular. Substantial resources were invested in large, medium and minor irrigation projects in both the central and state plans.

However, the gains of new technology were not spread evenly throughout various states and regions of the country. Moreover, several experts – including environmentalists like Vandana Shiva – have pointed out that the Green Revolution may have significantly increased the outputs of wheat and rice, but at the cost of domestic output of pulses and oilseeds, among other crops. This study, too, admits that the introduction of Borlaug technology increased the yield levels of mainly wheat, and later, rice. Policymakers laid great stress upon agricultural R&D and extension services. A number of agricultural universities were established under the aegis of the Indian Council of Agricultural Research for combining the functions of education, research and extension. Policies were formulated to provide cheap institutional credit and subsidies to encourage farmers to invest in irrigation, including tanks, pump-sets and irrigation structures. Both irrigation and power tariffs were hugely subsidized. However, if you look at the overall rate of agricultural growth – 3% – it is really not impressive by any standards, and lends credence to the arguments presented by Vandana Shiva and other likeminded experts that one set of crops prospered at the cost of another set of crops, which were equally vital to the Indian economy’s health.

The authors point out that the agricultural price policy aims at keeping food prices low in the interest of food security, which is sought to be ensured by augmenting domestic production although imports of such items as sugar, edible oils and even foodgrains have become quite frequent over a period of time. But, we have seen how the pricing policy has manifestly failed to ensure even a modicum of food security. In fact, it has neither benefitted the majority of farmers – who have small to marginal land holdings – nor has managed to keep the food prices down. Our present high inflation rates are largely, if not primarily, due to the rising food prices.

Actually, the current regime of agriculture pricing and subsidies has helped only rich farmers, while the majority of the rest don’t even get the benefits of such pricing policies. There is a need to revisit the entire structure of agricultural pricing and overall management of its growth. You cannot increase output merely by raising prices; it is becoming increasingly clear that multiple cropping, non-synthetic fertilizers as well as non-toxic methods of pest control need to have a serious relook for long term agricultural prospects in the country.

This study is based on the analysis of state-wise data from 17 major states and 281 composite districts; and covers 44 of the 46 crops at the state level and only 35 crops at the district level. Because of the terrain variations the study has excluded hill districts and districts in small states. It analyses the impact of the Borlaug seed-fertilizer technology from 1990-93 to 2005-08, and is significant because it follows the introduction of economic reforms in India in 1991 which brought about fundamental changes in macroeconomic and trade policies, completely altering the entire agricultural policy framework which had prevailed during the planning period prior to the 1990s.

Our policymakers and researchers would find this volume quite useful.


Edited version published in Tehelka’s Financial World on July 04, 2012

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